Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (01 Jan 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 45000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.4, 83.7
GREEN
1 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.5, 80.6
GREEN
1 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.2, 77.5
GREEN
1 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18.7, 75.3
GREEN
1 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -19.2, 72.4
GREEN
1 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -19.4, 69.4
GREEN
1 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 45000 people no people -19.2, 66.5
GREEN
1 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -19.2, 63.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mauritius

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Mauritius Mauritius 1.1 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Rodrigues Plaine Corail RRG 40 Civ. Paved Yes 3300

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port Mathurin Mauritius

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Port Mathurin, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 27 Jan 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jan 2022 02:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1