Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
02 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
    Exposed countries Madagascar
    Exposed population 2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (10 Jan 08:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
    Landfall between
    05 Feb 2022 00:00 - 06 Feb 2022 00:00
    in Madagascar

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 231 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 231 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      231 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.8 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 130 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 139 1000 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 176 1.1 million No people Mauritius
        Green 6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 194 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 7 30 Jan 2022 00:00 185 2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 8 30 Jan 2022 12:00 204 3.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
        Green 9 31 Jan 2022 00:00 194 3.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
        Green 10 31 Jan 2022 12:00 194 14.4 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
        Orange 11 01 Feb 2022 00:00 204 16.4 million 480 thousand Madagascar
        Red 12 01 Feb 2022 12:00 204 18.9 million 3.8 million Madagascar
        Red 13 02 Feb 2022 00:00 231 20.3 million 2.8 million Madagascar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.4, 83.7
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -18, 79.6
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.6, 76.1
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18.3, 73.4
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -18.2, 71.2
          GREEN
          		 6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18, 69.9
          GREEN
          		 7 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.6, 68.2
          GREEN
          		 8 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
          GREEN
          		 9 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
          GREEN
          		 10 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -15.7, 63.2
          GREEN
          		 11 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -16.4, 62.3
          GREEN
          		 12 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 1.2 million people -17.2, 60.1
          GREEN
          		 13 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 222 no people 2.2 million people -18.1, 58.3
          GREEN
          		 13 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.2 million people -18.7, 56.7
          GREEN
          		 13 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 204 no people 2.2 million people -19.2, 55.2
          GREEN
          		 13 03 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 4 213 no people 1.5 million people -19.4, 53.8
          GREEN
          		 13 04 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 222 no people 14.3 million people -19.4, 52.6
          RED
          		 13 05 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 231 2.8 million people 17.2 million people -19.8, 50
          ORANGE
          		 13 06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 15.6 million people -20.7, 46 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 13 07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -21.6, 41.7
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Madagascar

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Toamasina Madagascar
          Fianarantsoa Madagascar
          Antananarivo Madagascar
          Toliara Madagascar

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
          Antsirabe Antananarivo Madagascar City 150000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
          Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
          Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.8 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Andranotsara, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 10 Jan 2022 08:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (153 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 02 Feb 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Jan 2022 08:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.8
          10 Jan 2022 08:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.7
          10 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.6
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.5
          10 Jan 2022 07:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.5
          10 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.5
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 08:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.4
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 15:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Savana Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 07:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 15:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankomany Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.3
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 04:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 20:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 22:00 Baly Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 10:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 15:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 02:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 10:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 12:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 21:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 10:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 15:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 22:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
          09 Jan 2022 22:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 09:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 15:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 21:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 12:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
          09 Jan 2022 19:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 16:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 11:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
          11 Jan 2022 00:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 14:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 17:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 19:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
          10 Jan 2022 23:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1