Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 130 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 139 1000 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 176 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 194 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.4, 83.7
GREEN
2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -18, 79.6
GREEN
3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.6, 76.1
GREEN
4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18.3, 73.4
GREEN
5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -18.2, 71.2
GREEN
6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18, 69.9
GREEN
6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.8, 68.3
GREEN
6 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -17.5, 66.4
GREEN
6 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.3, 64.7
GREEN
6 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 2900 people -17.3, 63.1
GREEN
6 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 1.9 million people -18, 59.5
GREEN
6 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 2.2 million people -18.7, 56.2
GREEN
6 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -19, 54.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 29 Jan 2022 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)