Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 18:00 - 31 May 2022 06:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 520000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13, -98.5
GREEN
2 29 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 13.4, -98.7
GREEN
2 29 May 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 130000 people 13.9, -98.6
GREEN
2 30 May 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 1.2 million people 14.6, -98.1
ORANGE
2 30 May 2022 18:00 Category 2 157 310000 people 3 million people 15.3, -97.3
ORANGE
2 31 May 2022 06:00 Category 1 120 260000 people 4.3 million people 16.2, -96.2 Mexico
GREEN
2 01 Jun 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.9, -94.7 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico
Veracruz Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Escondido PXM 88 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Pochutla PUH unknown 0
Bahias de Huatulco International HUX 143 Civ. Paved Yes 8800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Punta Escondida Mexico
Puerto Angel Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 28 May 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2022 00:00 Coyote Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 00:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 10:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 10:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 10:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 10:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 01:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 15:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 01:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 03:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 07:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 15:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 00:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 07:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 03:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 07:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 07:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 04:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 08:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 04:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 18:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 01:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 01:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 01:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1