Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (30 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 12:00 - 31 May 2022 00:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 157 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 150000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
GREEN
3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
GREEN
4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
GREEN
5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
GREEN
5 29 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1500 people 14.1, -98.8
GREEN
5 30 May 2022 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 1 million people 14.6, -98.2
ORANGE
5 30 May 2022 12:00 Category 2 157 150000 people 2.7 million people 15.2, -97.4
GREEN
5 31 May 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2.7 million people 15.9, -96.4 Mexico
GREEN
5 31 May 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.7, -95.4 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Pochutla PUH unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Puerto Angel Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Loma Larga, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (31 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 28 May 2022 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 May 2022 18:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.4
30 May 2022 17:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 06:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 06:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 06:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 06:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
30 May 2022 19:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.3
30 May 2022 18:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
30 May 2022 21:00 Mirador Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 07:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 20:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 08:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 22:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 03:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 05:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 04:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 02:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 01:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 16:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 16:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 14:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 14:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 14:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 06:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1