Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Feb 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
05 Feb 2022 12:00 - 06 Feb 2022 00:00

in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 20.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 130 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 139 1000 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 176 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 194 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 7 30 Jan 2022 00:00 185 2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 8 30 Jan 2022 12:00 204 3.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 9 31 Jan 2022 00:00 194 3.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 10 31 Jan 2022 12:00 194 14.4 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Orange 11 01 Feb 2022 00:00 204 16.4 million 480 thousand Madagascar
Red 12 01 Feb 2022 12:00 204 18.9 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Red 13 02 Feb 2022 00:00 231 20.3 million 2.8 million Madagascar
Red 14 02 Feb 2022 12:00 204 21 million 2.7 million Madagascar
Red 15 03 Feb 2022 00:00 204 20.8 million 3.6 million Madagascar
Red 16 03 Feb 2022 12:00 185 20.6 million 4.3 million Madagascar
Red 17 04 Feb 2022 00:00 204 20.6 million 4.4 million Madagascar
Red 18 04 Feb 2022 12:00 222 21.2 million 2.1 million Madagascar
Red 19 05 Feb 2022 00:00 185 20.8 million 2.2 million Madagascar
Red 20 05 Feb 2022 12:00 185 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Orange 21 06 Feb 2022 00:00 111 20.2 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Green 22 06 Feb 2022 12:00 102 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Green 23 07 Feb 2022 00:00 93 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Green 24 07 Feb 2022 12:00 83 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Green 25 08 Feb 2022 00:00 93 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Green 26 08 Feb 2022 12:00 65 20.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.4, 83.7
GREEN
2 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -18, 79.6
GREEN
3 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.6, 76.1
GREEN
4 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18.3, 73.4
GREEN
5 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -18.2, 71.2
GREEN
6 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18, 69.9
GREEN
7 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.6, 68.2
GREEN
8 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
GREEN
9 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
GREEN
10 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -15.7, 63.2
GREEN
11 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -16.4, 62.3
GREEN
12 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 1.2 million people no people -17.2, 60.1
GREEN
13 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 222 2.2 million people no people -18.1, 58.3
GREEN
14 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 4 231 2.2 million people no people -18.9, 56.7
GREEN
15 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 213 2.2 million people no people -19.1, 55.7
GREEN
16 03 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 4 213 850000 people no people -19.2, 54.9
GREEN
17 04 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 850000 people no people -19.4, 53.9
GREEN
18 04 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 4 213 8.9 million people no people -19.4, 52.6
RED
19 05 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 14.6 million people 160000 people -19.9, 51.3
RED
20 05 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 185 16.1 million people 2.5 million people -20.8, 49.4
ORANGE
21 06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 111 16.3 million people no people -21.3, 46.9 Madagascar
GREEN
22 06 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 5.6 million people no people -22.9, 44.4 Madagascar
GREEN
23 07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 1.6 million people no people -23.1, 42.2
GREEN
24 07 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 2.4 million people no people -24.6, 41.8
GREEN
25 08 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 470000 people no people -26.8, 41.6
GREEN
26 08 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -28.3, 41.8
GREEN
26 09 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -31.4, 42.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar
Reunion
Mauritius

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Toliara Madagascar 1.9 million people
Fianarantsoa Madagascar 2.8 million people
Antananarivo Madagascar 4.3 million people
Mahajanga Madagascar 1.4 million people
Toamasina Madagascar 1.8 million people
Reunion Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands 640000 people
Mauritius Mauritius 1.1 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tulear Toliara Madagascar Major city -
Betroka Toliara Madagascar City -
Ankazoabo Toliara Madagascar City 26000 people
Morombe Toliara Madagascar City -
Ihosy Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 17000 people
Ambohibe Toliara Madagascar City -
Manja Toliara Madagascar City -
Farafangana Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 25000 people
Manakara Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 35000 people
Fianarantsoa Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 160000 people
Sahasinaka Fianarantsoa Madagascar City -
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
Mananjary Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 27000 people
Antsirabe Antananarivo Madagascar City 150000 people
Saka Antananarivo Madagascar City -
Antananarivo Antananarivo Madagascar Capital 1.4 million people
Moramanga Toamasina Madagascar City 29000 people
Tamatave Toamasina Madagascar City 200000 people
Fenerive Toamasina Madagascar City -
Saint-Denis Reunion Capital 140000 people
Port Louis Mauritius Capital 150000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Ampanihy AMP 235 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Betioky BKU unknown 0
Bekily OVA 387 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
Toliara TLE 8 Civ. Paved No 6500
Ankazoabo WAK 430 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Morombe MXM 5 Civ. Paved No 4200
Tanandava TDV 27 Civ. Unpaved No 4500
Ihosy IHO 762 Civ. Unpaved No 5400
Manja MJA 240 Civ. Unpaved No 5200
Beroroha WBO 250 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Farafangana RVA 8 Civ. Unpaved No 3400
Mandabe WMD 290 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Ambalavao 972 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Morondava MOQ 7 Civ. Paved No 4900
Manakara Sud WVK 10 Civ. Paved No 3900
Fianarantsoa WFI 1115 Civ. Paved No 4100
Malaimbandy WML 182 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
Ambatolahy AHY unknown 0
Belo Sur Tsiribihina BMD 47 Civ. Paved No 4400
Mananjary MNJ 6 Civ. Paved No 4900
Miandrivazo ZVA 62 Civ. Paved No 3600
Antsirabe ATJ 1523 Civ. Unpaved No 4900
Ankavandra JVA 130 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Tsiroanomandidy WTS 846 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Antananarivo Arivonimamo 1450 0
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400
Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Antananarivo Ivato TNR 1279 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
Ambatondrazaka WAM 766 Civ. Unpaved No 4200
Toamasina TMM 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Sainte Marie SMS 2 Civ. Paved No 3300
St Pierre Pierrefonds ZSE 16 0
Saint Denis Gillot RUN 20 0
Plaisance International MRU 57 Civ. Paved Yes 9900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Androka MGADK Madagascar
Faux Cap Madagascar
Toliara MGTLE Madagascar
Manombo MGMOB Madagascar
Manantenina Madagascar
Morombe MGMXM Madagascar
Antongo Madagascar
Farafangana MGRVA Madagascar
Belo Sur Mer Madagascar
Morondava MGMOQ Madagascar
Manakara MGWVK Madagascar
Mananjary MGMNJ Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
Andevoranto Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina) MGTMM Madagascar
Foulpointe Madagascar
Fenerive Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie Madagascar
Saint Pierre Reunion
Pointe Des Galets REPDG Reunion
Saint Denis Reunion
Port Louis MUPLU Mauritius
Mahebourg Mauritius

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Tsiazompaniry Varahina-Sud 1956
Mantasoa Varahina-Nord 1938
Antanifotsy Antanifotsy 1958

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Ankirijibe, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 07 Feb 2022 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (158 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 08 Feb 2022 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 07:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 08:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Savana Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 07:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 16:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 07:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 13:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 13:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 13:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 13:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 19:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Baly Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 08:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 08:00 Amado Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Mite Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Amboboka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambotra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Salary Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampataka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 08:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andavadoaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Anakitaina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 11:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambatomilo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Bekodoy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 11:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Tsifota Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Tsiandamba Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Manombo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 14:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 12:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 02:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Bemahala Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Sarahanonoy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambondro Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Amboananto Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambohitrabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2022 04:00 Antseranambe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 03:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 04:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 08:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1