Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
29 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (29 Jan 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.8 m 131 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius42,703 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Malawi819,684
+
Malawi798,694 
Tanzania20,989 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia5,886,253
+
Malawi5,136,513 
Tanzania488,961 
Mozambique214,229 
Zambia46,549 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 563 820 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Catine Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Marere Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Tama Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Metula Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:15 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:15 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Jo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Savana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1