Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (29 Jan 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 1.0 m 319 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius42,703 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 194 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

2013 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMauritius17,792 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 588 -
- - - - - Mauritius




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Voloina Madagascar  1.0
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Manambia Madagascar  1.0
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.0
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.0
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.0
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Rantabe Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Amado Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 11:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Onara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 07:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:30 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:30 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:30 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Manica Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:30 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:30 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:45 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:45 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 08:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 12:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:15 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Arire Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 11:30 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 09:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 10:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1