Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Jan 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 400 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion397,940
+
Mauritius396,457 
Reunion1,482 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 184 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion67,368
+
Mauritius64,944 
Reunion2,423 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion130,518
+
Mauritius127,195 
Reunion3,323 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 403 70 thousand
- - - - Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Magawa, Tanzania. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Mchungu Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Kiombani Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Beira Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Nyambati Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Salale Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:30 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:15 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:15 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:15 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Catine Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Mpafu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Onara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Chole Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.1