Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (30 Jan 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 173 km/h 1.2 m 189 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion732,411
+
Mauritius716,372 
Reunion16,039 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Reunion3,619,779
+
Malawi3,178,689 
Tanzania266,903 
Zambia32,861 
Mozambique136,055 
Reunion5,269 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 432 -
- - - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Voloina Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Manambia Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Benjana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Tampolo Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.4
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.4
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Manica Mozambique  0.4
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.4
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Beira Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 07:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 08:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 07:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 07:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.3
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Onara Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Marere Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:15 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:45 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:30 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:30 Moravano Madagascar  0.1