Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (30 Jan 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 1.1 m 278 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,371,763
+
Mauritius996,828 
Reunion374,934 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion1,703 
50-100 mmMalawi, Mozambique, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion253,179
+
Malawi62,701 
Mozambique21,130 
Zambia17,474 
Mauritius1,907 
Reunion149,965 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 428 2 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Voloina Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Manambia Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Benjana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Tampolo Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 20:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:30 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:45 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:45 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:45 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1