Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 Jan 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 86 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 1.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,795,474
+
Mauritius1,034,467 
Reunion761,007 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 205 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion2,489 
750-1000 mmReunion2,431 
500-750 mmReunion20,375 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion245,254
+
Mauritius155,796 
Reunion89,458 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion873,822
+
Mauritius517,407 
Reunion356,415 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion690,954
+
Mauritius498,213 
Reunion192,741 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 1480 1.1 million
Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ambatoxavavy, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Sadani Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Donge Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Paje Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Mtanga Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Kilwa Kisiwani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Kilwa Masoko Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Konduchi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:15 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:15 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:15 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Foque Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Kipandoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Hiari Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Tongoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Kawi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1