Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (01 Feb 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 144 km/h 1.1 m 163 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,476,052
+
Mauritius1,019,548 
Reunion456,503 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 860 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmReunion189,800 
100-250 mmReunion671,353 
50-100 mmMalawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Mauritius1,271,978
+
Malawi107,222 
Zambia99 
Mozambique5,332 
Mauritius1,159,322 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 691 860 thousand
- - - Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Voloina Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Manambia Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Benjana Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Tampolo Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 13:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Le Port Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 La Possession Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Beira Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:15 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:30 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:30 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Morrua Mozambique  0.1