Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLGA-19
in United States
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLGA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Canada, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (26 Oct 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.4 m 322 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.4 m 322 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 540 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Canada, Mexico541,789
+
United States400,104 
Canada177 
Mexico141,508 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Oct 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 3 26 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Oct 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 5 26 Oct 2019 12:00 72 -
- - - - - United States, Canada, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico994,596 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico1,529,180
+
United States302,030 
Mexico1,227,150 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico27,183,425
+
United States20,514,606 
Cuba19 
Mexico6,668,800 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Oct 2019 12:00 174 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 18:00 111 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 26 Oct 2019 00:00 160 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Oct 2019 06:00 172 960 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 26 Oct 2019 12:00 260 1.1 million
- - - United States, Cuba, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Dauphin Island, United States. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Dauphin Island United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Heron Bay United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Fort Gaines United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Fort Morgan United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Gulf Highlands United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Cedar Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Gasque United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Yent Place United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Carrabelle United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Lanark Village United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:45 Apalachicola United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:45 Eastpoint United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Oyster Bay United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Bon Secaur United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Oak United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Gulf Shores United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Romar Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Orange Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Port Fourchon United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Edgewater Gulf Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Long Beach Resort United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Biltmore Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Lower Grand Lagoon United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Upper Grand Lagoon United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Pretty Bayou United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Baker United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Beacon Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Cove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Cromanton United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Hiland Park United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Cedar Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 San Blas United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Springfield United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Panama City United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Parker United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Tyndall AFB United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Old Callaway United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Callaway United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Cook United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Inlet Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Hollywood Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Sunnyside United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Laguna Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Santa Monica United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Gulf Resort Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Lullwater Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 West Bay United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Bahama Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Gulf Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Panama City Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Davis Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Allanton United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Caswell United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Joesphine United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Perdido Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:30 McNeils United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:30 Indian Pass United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Lynn Haven United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Southport United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Blue Mountain Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Grayton Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Seagrove Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Choctaw United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Bunker United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Alys Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Mexico Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Beacon Hill United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Highland View United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Port Saint Joe United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Milltown United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Oak Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Perdido Bay United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Paradise Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Chanticleer United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Haven Park United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Sherman Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Quinavista United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Ramsey Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Pleasant Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Sand Cut United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Fort McRee United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Cerny Heights United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Bellview United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Myrtle Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Fort Barrancas United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Warrington United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 West Pensacola United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Sanders Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Pensacola United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Goulding United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Gulf Breeze United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Gaberonne United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Gulf Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Villa Sabine United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Oriole Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:15 Overstreet United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Seminole United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Villa Tasso United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Big Hammock United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Miramar Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Mullet Creek United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Four Mile Village United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Turquoise Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Grosh United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Dune Allen Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Santa Rosa Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Santa Rosa United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Bay View United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Fluffy Landing United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Gulf Beach Heights United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Gulf Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Destin United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Eglin AFB United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Valparaiso United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Killian United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Lillian United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:30 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:30 Grand Isle United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Tiger Point United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Woodlawn Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Holley United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 East Bay United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Fort Walton Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Ocean City United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Garnier United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Shalimar United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 17:00 Lake Lorraine United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Laja Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Navarre United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Mary Esther United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Wright United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Harris United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Elorosa United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Wynnehaven Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 La Mata Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Celestum Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Longbeach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Cortez United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Longboat Key United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 South Bradenton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Bayshore Gardens United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Whitfield United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Sarasota Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Siesta United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 West Samoset United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Siesta Key United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Tallevast United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Sarasota United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 South Sarasota United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Point O'Rocks United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 North Sarasota United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Ridge Wood Heights United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Southgate United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Gulf Gate Estates United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 South Gate Ridge United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Vamo United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Osprey United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Coconut United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Bonita Shores United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Naples Park United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Anna Maria United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Holmes Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Ilexhurst United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Palma Sola United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 West Bradenton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Terra Mana United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Bradenton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Palmetto United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Memphis United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:45 Buras United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Nokomis United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Laurel United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Venice United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 South Venice United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Manasota Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Venice Gardens United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Woodmere United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Englewood United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Indian Shores United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Indian Rocks Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Belleair Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Redington Shores United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Harbor Bluffs United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Belleair Bluffs United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Fort De Soto United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 North Redington Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Redington Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Madeira Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Bay Pines United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Treasure Island United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 The Jungle United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:45 Manasota Key United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:15 Port Royal United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:15 East Naples United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Marco United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Caxambas United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Shell Island United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Isles of Capri United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Wulfert United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Sanibel United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Ybel United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Conejo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:30 El Tular Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Grove City United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Mobile Gardens United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Cape Haze United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Rotonda United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Gasparilla United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Placida United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Boca Grande United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Charlotte Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:45 Captiva United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Bokeelia United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Pineland United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 22:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2019 02:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Burrwood United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 19:30 Progreso Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 19:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:45 West Point United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:45 Breton United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 19:30 Chelem Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Caplen United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 High Island United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Key West United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Stock Island United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Flake United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Patton United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 18:45 Bay Point United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 20:45 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Galveston United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1