Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
08 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (10 Nov 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 1.7 m 232 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to 5.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India5,666,693
+
Bangladesh4,422,905 
India1,243,788 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Nov 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India8,364,561
+
India1,228,689 
Bangladesh7,135,872 
100-250 mmBurma, Bangladesh, India88,250,352
+
Burma309,147 
India26,609,652 
Bangladesh61,331,553 
50-100 mmBurma, India, China, Bangladesh57,317,465
+
Burma1,213,501 
India25,059,147 
China4,022 
Bangladesh31,040,795 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Nov 2019 12:00 429 96.6 million
- - - Burma, India, China, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Bara Pata, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.7
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Kumira Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Hatia Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Gahira Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Anowara Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Noapara Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 10:15 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Magnama Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Napura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:15 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.6
08 Nov 2019 21:45 Rasalpur India  0.5
08 Nov 2019 21:45 Chandipur India  0.5
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Hukitala India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 21:45 Satabhaya India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Budin Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Nuagan India  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:45 Nuliasahi India  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:45 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Geonkhali India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Nurpur India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Diamond Harbor India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:00 Darein Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:00 Paung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:30 Nuralrevu India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:30 Gopalpur India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:30 Baruva India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:15 Konarak India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Barisal Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Balighai India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Canjam India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Paluru India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Malud India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:15 Puri India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Chatrapur India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:15 Panasapada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:00 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Phapholting Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Venkatapuram India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Pudimadaka India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Konada India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1