Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
27 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jan 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 107 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique191,009
+
Tanzania7,233 
Mozambique183,776 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Madagascar12,613,290
+
Malawi5,848,625 
Tanzania89,426 
Mozambique6,502,813 
Zambia23,790 
Madagascar148,634 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 387 190 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 27 Jan 2022 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 04:45 Manica Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Beira Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 04:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 04:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 05:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 04:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 04:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Jo Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 03:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:30 Catine Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:45 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:15 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 02:30 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:15 Barra Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:45 Esama Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:45 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:45 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 03:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:30 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:30 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 05:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1