Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Jan 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

227 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 373 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Chamba, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Beira Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 17:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 16:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 16:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 16:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Chole Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Amado Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:00 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ampary Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Talaky Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambazoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:30 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Antavy Atsimo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ankazomanitsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 16:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:30 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Mpafu Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Faux-Cap Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ankaratravitra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Chumbuni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Taandani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Uchangani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Temi Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Chake Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Ziwani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Jojo Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Kitwea Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Hurumuzi Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:30 Jo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 15:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:45 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Donge Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 13:30 Beaniky Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 17:15 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.1