Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 43 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Jan 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 43 km/h 0.2 m 2 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,129,737
+
Mauritius544,848 
Reunion584,888 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 176 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmReunion599 
250-500 mmReunion4,756 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion58,179
+
Mauritius30,538 
Reunion27,641 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion275,548
+
Mauritius217,253 
Reunion58,295 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 624 60 thousand
- - Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Manica Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Beira Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Sadani Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Mbweni Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Doriya Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Donge Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Onara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Salale Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:00 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Paje Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Baly Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Mvuni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Kiriwani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Tanga Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Chole Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Ankomany Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Mariarano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Konduchi Tanzania  0.1