Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 48 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 1.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,392,601
+
Mauritius652,055 
Reunion740,545 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 209 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion207 
750-1000 mmReunion2,382 
500-750 mmReunion2,820 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion104,682
+
Mauritius67,197 
Reunion37,485 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion517,516
+
Mauritius338,768 
Reunion178,748 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion847,164
+
Mauritius563,742 
Reunion283,422 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 1220 630 thousand
Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Sadani, Tanzania. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Sadani Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Beira Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Donge Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Paje Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Chole Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Salale Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:45 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1