Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
27 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 75 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Malawi127,013
+
Malawi40,127 
Tanzania1,302 
Mozambique85,584 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar10,238,337
+
Malawi5,340,022 
Tanzania423,732 
Zambia167,280 
Mozambique4,253,588 
Madagascar53,713 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 364 130 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 27 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Beira Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 11:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Esama Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Beula Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Jo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:15 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Marere Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Tolanaro Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Marokoky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:15 Sainte-Luce Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Catine Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:45 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:45 Anakao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:45 Soalara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:45 Saint Augustin Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:30 Tanilahy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1