Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (01 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 0.8 m 113 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,324,377
+
Mauritius957,961 
Reunion366,416 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 110 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion105,654 
50-100 mmTanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Mauritius, Reunion501,344
+
Tanzania62,651 
Malawi10,595 
Mozambique23,370 
Mauritius4,021 
Reunion400,705 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 562 110 thousand
- - - - Tanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 19:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 19:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Le Port Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 La Possession Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 19:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 00:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Esama Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:45 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:45 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:45 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:15 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 18:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 21:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 23:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 20:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 18:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 22:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 19:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.1