Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Feb 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 140 km/h 0.2 m 164 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,369,807
+
Madagascar35,866 
Mauritius599,884 
Reunion734,056 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 212 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

2013 mm

Up to 950 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion3,575 
750-1000 mmReunion8,235 
500-750 mmReunion19,252 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion139,384
+
Mauritius64,189 
Reunion75,195 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion780,132
+
Mauritius561,669 
Reunion218,462 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion968,937
+
Madagascar90,054 
Mauritius571,920 
Reunion306,962 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 1942 950 thousand
Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 08:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Beira Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:30 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:30 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Baly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Amado Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:15 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:15 Salale Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Aiai Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Cimbene Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:45 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 12:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.1