Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 180 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 180 km/h 0.2 m 242 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion2,045,659
+
Madagascar278,879 
Mauritius936,722 
Reunion830,058 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 230 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

2013 mm

Up to 1.9 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion15,899 
750-1000 mmReunion16,005 
500-750 mmReunion17,938 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion400,511
+
Mauritius49,581 
Reunion350,929 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,421,374
+
Madagascar66,523 
Mauritius1,042,116 
Reunion312,734 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,424,893
+
Madagascar1,177,288 
Mauritius134,703 
Reunion112,901 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 2480 1.9 million
Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Trou aux Biches, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 02 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Tama Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:30 Maziba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:30 Aiai Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:30 Cimbene Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:30 Canhamba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Manica Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Linchica Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Catembe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Maputo Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Joannisse Mozambique  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 19:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambotra Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Laisse Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 19:30 Amado Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:30 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Barra Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Machavene Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:15 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:30 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:30 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:30 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:45 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Catine Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:30 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:30 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:30 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:30 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:45 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Savana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:30 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 20:15 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Black River Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:45 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:45 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:45 Manambondro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 22:15 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:45 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:30 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 23:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 China Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 21:15 Mapelana South Africa  0.1
01 Feb 2022 19:15 Morondava Madagascar  0.1