Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
03 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 216 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (03 Feb 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 216 km/h 0.7 m 236 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,601,019
+
Madagascar432,564 
Mauritius697,958 
Reunion470,496 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius
GREEN 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 205 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 7.9 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMadagascar, Reunion2,141,531
+
Madagascar1,654,211 
Reunion487,319 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Reunion5,790,459
+
Madagascar5,416,625 
Reunion373,834 
50-100 mmComoros, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar, Mauritius4,173,919
+
Comoros343,754 
Malawi425,990 
Zambia123,862 
Mozambique172,828 
Madagascar3,096,594 
Mauritius10,888 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 566 7.9 million
- - - Comoros, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 03 Feb 2022 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.7
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.6
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.5
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.5
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Le Port Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 04:15 La Possession Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 03:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 03:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.2
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Cascades Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 01:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:45 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:15 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:45 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:45 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:15 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:30 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 02:45 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 00:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:15 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:30 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 05:30 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 04:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
03 Feb 2022 03:30 Savana Madagascar  0.1