Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
27 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jan 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 93 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMozambique, Malawi42,867
+
Malawi41,760 
Mozambique1,106 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique8,874,371
+
Malawi3,210,718 
Tanzania138,353 
Zambia241,765 
Mozambique5,283,533 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 380 40 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 27 Jan 2022 12:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:15 Manica Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Beira Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.3
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 12:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Esama Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Manantenina Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 14:15 Lokia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 14:15 Andringahely Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 14:15 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Tolanaro Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Marokoky Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Sainte-Luce Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:00 Catine Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Jo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:15 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Talaky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambazoa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankazomanitsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 China Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Antavy Atsimo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ampary Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:45 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:30 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Beaniky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Esanta Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Ankilihago Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:45 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Marere Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:15 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Elanja Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Ampasimpolaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Antanandava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:45 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:45 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Maroloha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 16:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 17:00 Belay Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 12:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 15:45 Laisse Mozambique  0.1