Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
28 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (28 Jan 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.6 m 67 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMalawi, Mozambique4,159
+
Malawi1,716 
Mozambique2,442 
50-100 mmTanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia8,652,590
+
Tanzania291,367 
Malawi6,148,845 
Mozambique1,924,500 
Zambia287,877 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 321 4 thousand
- - - - Tanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 28 Jan 2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Rantabe Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Beira Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Afonso Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Catine Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Asneira Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:30 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:30 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:30 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Onara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 China Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:45 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:45 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Tama Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:30 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1