Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAS-22
in Mexico
21 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jun 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.5 m 624 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 624 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jun 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jun 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jun 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Jun 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 21 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico, Guatemala9,483
+
Mexico8,793 
Guatemala690 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, El Salvador5,963,641
+
Mexico3,866,140 
Belize25,437 
Guatemala1,901,461 
Honduras72,580 
El Salvador98,022 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua52,457,600
+
United States822 
Mexico28,496,579 
Belize284,148 
Guatemala14,319,394 
Honduras3,317,831 
El Salvador6,027,540 
Nicaragua11,284 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras47,129,538
+
United States49,381 
Mexico45,906,997 
Belize51,135 
Guatemala93,356 
Honduras1,028,668 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jun 2022 12:00 100 -
- - - - - Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 2 14 Jun 2022 00:00 151 3 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 3 14 Jun 2022 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Honduras
Blue 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 218 3 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 5 15 Jun 2022 12:00 241 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 7 16 Jun 2022 12:00 210 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 17 Jun 2022 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Jun 2022 12:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 10 18 Jun 2022 00:00 204 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 11 18 Jun 2022 12:00 116 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 12:00 208 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 203 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 16 21 Jun 2022 00:00 511 5.2 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

3.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.8m in Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21/06/2022 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
3.0 - 5.0 mMexico818 
0.5 - 1.0 mMexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala30,973
+
Mexico344 
Belize20,324 
Honduras8,547 
Guatemala1,757 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico, United States, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala100,538
+
Mexico4,138 
United States687 
Belize71,427 
Honduras12,960 
Guatemala11,323 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  3.8
22/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.8
22/06/2022 20:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.8
22/06/2022 21:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.8
22/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.7
23/06/2022 00:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.7
22/06/2022 20:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.7
22/06/2022 20:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.7
22/06/2022 20:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.7
22/06/2022 20:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.7
13/06/2022 20:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.3
15/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
14/06/2022 06:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
15/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
15/06/2022 05:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
20/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, North Side United States  0.3
20/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, English Lookout United States  0.3
21/06/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
15/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.3
15/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
13/06/2022 19:00 Baja California, Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
15/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
23/06/2022 01:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.3
21/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
15/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
14/06/2022 06:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
14/06/2022 06:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
23/06/2022 02:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
14/06/2022 04:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
21/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
21/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
21/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
20/06/2022 22:00 Mississippi, Bay St Louis United States  0.2
20/06/2022 22:00 Mississippi, Henderson Point United States  0.2
17/06/2022 13:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Mississippi, Pass Christian United States  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Mississippi, White Harbor United States  0.2
21/06/2022 19:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
21/06/2022 07:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
22/06/2022 23:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 19:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 23:00 Alabama, Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
22/06/2022 23:00 Alabama, Mon Louis United States  0.2
21/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
20/06/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Mississippi City United States  0.2
20/06/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Handsboro United States  0.2
21/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 03:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 00:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
23/06/2022 00:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
23/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 21:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Mississippi, Edgewater Park United States  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Mississippi, Beauvoir United States  0.2
19/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Heron Bay United States  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Alabama Port United States  0.2
21/06/2022 06:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 19:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.2
16/06/2022 00:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 22:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
23/06/2022 22:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
23/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 23:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Fort Morgan United States  0.2
23/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
23/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Dauphin Island Fort Gaines United States  0.2
23/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 21:00 Alabama, Dauphin Island Dauphin Island United States  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Joesphine United States  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.2
23/06/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 22:00 Alabama, Romar Beach United States  0.1
21/06/2022 00:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
20/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
22/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
19/06/2022 06:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
21/06/2022 01:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
20/06/2022 07:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
23/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Natividad Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
23/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
23/06/2022 20:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
21/06/2022 01:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
20/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
21/06/2022 05:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
21/06/2022 05:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
23/06/2022 06:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
23/06/2022 07:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
23/06/2022 20:00 California, Azure Vista United States  0.1
23/06/2022 20:00 California, Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
23/06/2022 23:00 California, Santa Catalina Island Avalon United States  0.1