Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NEOGURI-19
in Japan, Russian Federation,

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000616
Name NEOGURI-19
From - To 16 Oct - 22 Oct
Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 205 km/h 0.6 m 914 mm 0.5
GFS 223 km/h 0.6 m 660 mm 0.5
ECMWF 162 km/h 0.6 m 765 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Japan, Northern Mariana Islands - Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI and BUALOI (ECHO 21 Oct 2019)Mon, 21 Oct 2019 13:02

  • Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI continued north-east over the northern Philippine Sea towards central Honshu, Japan with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h.
  • NEOGURI is expected to pass close to the southern greater Tokyo area on 22 October, with maximum sustained winds up to 75 km/h. The area was also hit by Typhoon HAGIBIS on 11-12 October, resulting in 74 deaths.
  • Japan's Meteorological Agency (JMA) has issued a red warning for heavy rain over Mie Prefecture on Honshu island and heavy rain and strong winds will affect most of the island 21-23 October. 
  • Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone BUALOI continued north-west over the Philippine Sea towards the Northern Mariana Islands. On 21 October at 0.00 its centre was approximately 280 km south-east of Saipan, with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h. Media report the closure of schools and government offices on 21 October.
  • BUALOI should pass north of Saipan on 21 October, with maximum sustained winds up to 175 km/h. Heavy rain warnings and flash flood alerts have been issued for the Northern Mariana islands. 
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 35 | About casualties: 0 | Last hour: 0

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),