Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARIM-22
in Cocos (Keeling) Islands
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARIM-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Cocos (Keeling) Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 May 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Cocos Is.)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 83 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 111 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 07 May 2022 06:00 111 No people No people
Green 2 07 May 2022 18:00 111 No people No people
Green 3 08 May 2022 06:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 08 May 2022 18:00 111 No people No people
Green 5 09 May 2022 06:00 130 No people No people
Green 6 09 May 2022 18:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 10 May 2022 06:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 10 May 2022 18:00 93 No people No people
Green 9 11 May 2022 06:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -7.7, 89.5
GREEN
2 07 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -9.1, 90.3
GREEN
3 08 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -10.3, 90.3
GREEN
4 08 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -11.1, 90.7
GREEN
5 09 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -12.3, 90.8
GREEN
6 09 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -14.1, 91.1
GREEN
7 10 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -16.6, 92
GREEN
8 10 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.7, 93.2
GREEN
9 11 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -19.1, 95.1
GREEN
9 11 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 96.8
GREEN
9 12 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -16.8, 97.8
GREEN
9 12 May 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15, 98
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Cocos Is.

Provinces

Region Province Country
Cocos Is. Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands Capital <1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Cocos Is CCK 3 Civ. Paved Yes 7900

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Sungsang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 07 May 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 08 May 2022 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 May 2022 12:00 Sungsang Indonesia  0.4
07 May 2022 14:00 Tandjungniur Indonesia  0.4
07 May 2022 13:00 Medielang Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 13:00 Muntok Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 13:00 Teritip Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 14:00 Tempilang Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 14:00 Belo Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 14:00 Anjai Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 12:00 Rambat Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 12:00 Kampa Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 15:00 Radjik Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 14:00 Keludin Indonesia  0.3
07 May 2022 13:00 Telus Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Koba Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Perlang Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 13:00 Pelawan Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 17:00 Pangkalpinang Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 17:00 Batoebeloebang Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Bakong Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 08:00 Nipahpandjang Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 17:00 Sungailiat Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 13:00 Bubus Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Kepoh Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Tukak Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Penoetoek Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 18:00 Tandjunglabu Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 12:00 Paritbawoeng Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 14:00 Tengkalat Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 17:00 Batubetumpang Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 09:00 Belodo Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 10:00 Paritsungaibutuh Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 07:00 Djago Indonesia  0.2
07 May 2022 07:00 Sebetik Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Kreewing Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 18:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 08:00 Posik Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Serajak Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Domas Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1