Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-22
in Mozambique, Malawi, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar, Zimbabwe
27 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Africa
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jan 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 35 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.8 m 508 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Africa8,573 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Jan 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Jan 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - South Africa
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia, Angola, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini539,340
+
Tanzania1,302 
Malawi40,127 
Zambia56,404 
Mozambique85,584 
Zimbabwe41,363 
Angola2,278 
South Africa240,513 
Eswatini71,765 
50-100 mmTanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Angola, Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, Eswatini17,676,754
+
Tanzania2,794,396 
Malawi5,985,434 
Zambia2,756,705 
Mozambique4,313,713 
Democratic Republic of the Congo67 
Madagascar53,713 
Zimbabwe1,169,969 
Angola28,237 
Namibia17,486 
Botswana2,171 
South Africa426,682 
Eswatini128,176 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 181 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 131 50 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 102 40 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi
Blue 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 137 520 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 177 740 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe, Mozambique
Blue 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 61 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mozambique
Blue 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 54 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 15 27 Jan 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Jan 2022 06:00 300 540 thousand
- - - - Tanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Angola, Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, Eswatini




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 27 Jan 2022 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jan 2022 07:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 07:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 11:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 07:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 07:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 07:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 07:30 Manica Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:00 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 11:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Aiai Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Cimbene Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Xolobeni South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Ebenezer South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Port Edward South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Bushyvales South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Westville South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Kwa-Mashu South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Durban South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Addington South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 La Lucia South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Selection Beach South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Fraser South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Sezela South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Naidooville South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Umkomaas South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Amanzimtoti South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:45 Kingsborough South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:45 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 08:45 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 07:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Stanger South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Darnall South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Bonds Drift South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:15 Tugela Mouth South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 09:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Dokodweni South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Highfield South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Mtunzini South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
27 Jan 2022 10:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1