Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FILI-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries New Caledonia, Norfolk Island
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (06 Apr 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 169 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 1271 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Caledonia, Norfolk Island4,722
+
New Caledonia2,303 
Norfolk Island2,419 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Apr 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Apr 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Apr 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 05 Apr 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 6 06 Apr 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia, Norfolk Island
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmNew Caledonia5,827 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, Australia587,344
+
Papua New Guinea184,545 
Solomon Islands16,111 
New Caledonia43,763 
Australia342,923 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia6,641,107
+
Papua New Guinea815,934 
Solomon Islands283,760 
Vanuatu12,650 
New Caledonia205,852 
Australia5,322,909 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Apr 2022 12:00 109 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Blue 2 04 Apr 2022 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Apr 2022 12:00 239 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 4 05 Apr 2022 00:00 237 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea, New Zealand
Blue 5 05 Apr 2022 12:00 200 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Blue 6 06 Apr 2022 00:00 619 590 thousand
- - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC