Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (12 May 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.7 m 196 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 May 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 May 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 May 2022 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Laos, Sri Lanka25,013,124
+
India5,203,437 
Myanmar598,690 
Bangladesh17,766,119 
Laos1,142 
Sri Lanka1,443,735 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Malaysia120,020,132
+
China494,262 
India22,275,827 
Myanmar3,509,250 
Nepal121,081 
Bangladesh79,849,351 
Vietnam1,400,175 
Laos1,209,779 
Thailand3,355,450 
Cambodia47,604 
Sri Lanka7,698,655 
Indonesia54,098 
Malaysia4,595 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 178 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 376 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 May 2022 06:00 152 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 10 09 May 2022 12:00 78 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Thailand
Blue 11 09 May 2022 18:00 461 25 million
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 18:00 UTC