Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GINA-22
in Vanuatu
19 May 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GINA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vanuatu, New Caledonia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (21 May 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.7 m 84 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 119 km/h 0.5 m 642 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 7 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 May 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVanuatu, New Caledonia6,791
+
Vanuatu4,336 
New Caledonia2,455 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 May 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 19 May 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 May 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 6 19 May 2022 18:00 97 -
- - - - - Vanuatu, New Caledonia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 May 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia2,744
+
Vanuatu2,148 
New Caledonia595 
250-500 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia16,224
+
Vanuatu11,896 
New Caledonia4,327 
100-250 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia38,868
+
Vanuatu12,244 
New Caledonia26,624 
50-100 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia116,236
+
Vanuatu10,107 
New Caledonia106,128 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 May 2022 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 May 2022 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 19 May 2022 00:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 May 2022 12:00 160 Few people
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 6 19 May 2022 18:00 1931 60 thousand
- - Vanuatu, New Caledonia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 May 2022 18:00 UTC