Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
18 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico, United States
Exposed population 3 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 204 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 5Mexico, United States2,954
+
Mexico1,732 
United States1,221 
CAT. 4United States, Mexico11
+
Mexico04 
United States06 
CAT. 3United States03 
CAT. 2United States, Mexico08
+
Mexico06 
United States01 
CAT. 1United States01 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico32
+
Mexico30 
United States02 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 - 3 thousand
Mexico, United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica3,064,916
+
Mexico852,124 
Guatemala2,209,918 
Honduras206 
El Salvador31 
Costa Rica2,636 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama25,500,642
+
United States10,624 
Mexico9,170,122 
Belize260,412 
Guatemala11,108,084 
Honduras1,344,360 
Nicaragua379,288 
El Salvador1,088,956 
Costa Rica1,905,775 
Panama233,017 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 210 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 278 3.1 million
- - - - United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Florida, Nine Mile, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 06:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 08:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 09:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
18/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.2
18/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.2
17/06/2022 20:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
16/06/2022 06:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
16/06/2022 06:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
18/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
16/06/2022 06:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 06:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 04:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
16/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 07:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 01:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 17:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 20:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 07:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
16/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
17/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1