Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
28 Jun 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Aruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (28 Jun 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 94 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago355,470
+
Aruba103,736 
Colombia752 
Curaçao151,132 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela26,734 
Trinidad and Tobago54,717 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Aruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTrinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil, Guyana1,311,923
+
Venezuela940,251 
Colombia224,860 
Trinidad and Tobago146,764 
Guyana15 
Brazil31 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Aruba, Grenada, Curaçao, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil19,031,823
+
Mexico1,526,702 
United States538,950 
Aruba87,440 
Grenada12,501 
Curaçao14,173 
Venezuela5,515,539 
Nicaragua8,603 
Colombia7,395,124 
Trinidad and Tobago756,661 
Costa Rica2,853,677 
Panama263,266 
Guyana4,624 
Suriname32,500 
French Guiana1,697 
Brazil20,361 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 205 1.3 million
- - - - Mexico, United States, Aruba, Grenada, Curaçao, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC