Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
01 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Jul 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.4 m 111 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGuadeloupe, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Colombia, Panama, Venezuela, Guyana5,139,610
+
Guadeloupe16,009 
Honduras68 
Dominica669 
Nicaragua2,737,931 
El Salvador264,250 
Colombia415,051 
Costa Rica1,678,994 
Venezuela20,543 
Panama6,090 
Guyana01 
50-100 mmMexico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Belize, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Brazil26,953,637
+
Mexico100,752 
Dominican Republic4,710,374 
Haiti2,727 
Antigua and Barbuda91,808 
Saint Eustatius2,691 
Saint Kitts and Nevis53,020 
Belize34,413 
Guadeloupe359,473 
Guatemala1,198,334 
Honduras1,825,213 
Dominica16,254 
Nicaragua2,418,185 
Martinique112,073 
Saint Lucia87 
El Salvador4,343,167 
Colombia7,578,515 
Costa Rica2,614,748 
Venezuela999,873 
Panama489,119 
Guyana2,613 
Brazil185 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 120 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
Blue 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 185 Few people
- - - - Guyana, Brazil
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Colombia, French Guiana
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 171 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
Blue 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 143 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 297 5.1 million
- - - - Mexico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Belize, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC