Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWENTYONE-22
Off-shore
12 Oct 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWENTYONE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Marshall Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (12 Oct 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 147 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.8 m 409 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Marshall Islands20,797
+
Japan13,112 
Marshall Islands7,685 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan, Marshall Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam100,031
+
Japan8,483 
Northern Mariana Islands2,059 
Guam89,488 
100-250 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam80,908
+
Japan04 
Northern Mariana Islands507 
Guam80,396 
50-100 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia, Marshall Islands84,132
+
Japan21,230 
Northern Mariana Islands52,502 
Micronesia9,548 
Marshall Islands850 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 294 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
Blue 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 373 180 thousand
- - - Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Marshall Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ruchi, Russia. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2022 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Ruchi Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Onirusu Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Protochnaya Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Golovnino Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Alekhino Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Danilovo Russia  0.3
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Oshiusu Russia  0.3
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Odaito Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Tokotan Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Bekkai Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 18:45 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Agat Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Umatac Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Merizo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Piti Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Asan Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Inarajan Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Hagatna Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Sinajana Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Talofofo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Mongmong Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Ylig Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Yona Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Tamuning Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Barrigada Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Oceanview Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Dededo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 South Acres Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Ipapao Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Asbeco Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Adacao Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Upi Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Gayinero Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Asatdas Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Lupog Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:45 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:45 Nakanokotan Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:45 Medelevo Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:45 Goryachiy Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Ono Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Takagi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Ishinomaki Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Inai Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Watanoha Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 22:45 Kotake Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 19:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Nitoda Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Odomari Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Takenohama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Koamikura Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Aji Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Oharahama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Svetloye Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:00 Kuma Kiribati  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Nemuro Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Tomoshiri Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:45 Palikir Micronesia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:45 Kolonia Micronesia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:45 Metalanim Micronesia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Yamashita Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Kaikomba Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Kasano Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Sakamoto Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Hanagama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Komagamine Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Iso Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Nakumura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Tachiya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Haragama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Umekawa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Isobe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:15 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 18:00 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 18:00 Lot Micronesia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 19:15 Rawannawi Kiribati  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Schiogama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Takaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:00 Uenodai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 18:15 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.1
12 Oct 2022 23:30 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Hikiushi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 00:00 Nassafu Japan  0.1