Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWENTYONE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWENTYONE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Oct 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 148 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.8 m 409 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Oct 2022 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Oct 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Oct 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmNorthern Mariana Islands52,502 
100-250 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia172,601
+
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia149 
50-100 mmMicronesia45,791 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 294 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
Blue 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 147 8 thousand -
- - - - Japan
Blue 3 13 Oct 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 4 13 Oct 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Oct 2022 12:00 370 230 thousand
- - - Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Odaito, Japan. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Odaito Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Tokotan Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Bekkai Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Katakai Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Hasunuma Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Yatabe Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Choshi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Tokawacho Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Inuwaka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Asahi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Ogushi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Hokota Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Natsumi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Kamigama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Noda Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Katsuori Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Otake Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Muyokama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Taiyo Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Omi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Kyochikama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Hamatsuga Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Aotsuka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Kyuchu Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Kashima Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Koya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Okunoya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Ichinomiya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Ike Shinden Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Goda Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Samma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Shirawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Shirahama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Shitamisaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Katsumata Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Sagara Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Katsuma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Omae Zaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Kawasaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Saitana Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Kami Yoshida Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Aikawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Tenno Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Yokouchi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Shimo Kosugi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Tajiri Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Yaizu Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Watari Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hayakawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Warabi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Arahama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ninokura Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ainokama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tago Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Niida Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ido Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shinhama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Gamo Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shiogama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Schiogama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Uenodai Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Takaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ono Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Takagi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Svetloye Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Nishi-wada Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Medvedevka Russia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Dorokava Russia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Novotambovskoye Russia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Shirasuka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Arai Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Murakushi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Maisaka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Takatsuka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:45 Ohara Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Yakumo Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Kuroiwa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Oshamambe Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Shizukari Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Rebun Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Toyoura Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Yamashita Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Kasano Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Hanagama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Komagamine Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Iso Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Nakumura Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Tachiya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Haragama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Umekawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Isobe Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Abuta Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Date Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Yamagoshi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Nodaoi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Ishikura Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Colonia Micronesia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Ruchi Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Onirusu Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Protochnaya Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Golovnino Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Nemuro Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Mori Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Kisarazu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Anegasaki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Goi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Chiba Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Tokyo Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Oboro Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Monshizu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Akkeshi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Shinryu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Itoizawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Agat Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Umatac Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Merizo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Piti Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Asan Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Inarajan Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Hagatna Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Sinajana Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Talofofo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Mongmong Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Ylig Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Yona Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Tamuning Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Barrigada Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Asbeco Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Adacao Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Kashima Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Odaka Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Takahira Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Namie Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Futaba Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Onaba Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Kayahama Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Kiyohashi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Tomoshiri Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Irago Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Hukue Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Akabane Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Tahara Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Oceanview Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Dededo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 South Acres Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Ipapao Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Upi Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Gayinero Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Asatdas Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Lupog Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Churuigenya Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Kumbetsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Shibetsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Higata Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Okoppe Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Saru Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:30 Shokotsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:15 Muroran Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Funabashi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Aratame Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Omori Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Arayashik Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Naraha Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Bogoya Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Ide Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Tomioka Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Oragahama Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Kawasaki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Golanda Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Sahara Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Futtso Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Kimitsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rawannawi Kiribati  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Kuma Kiribati  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Higashi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Utesovka Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Ishinomura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Moruji Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:15 Atlasovo Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Inai Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Hikiushi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Nassafu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Shirane Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Toyooka Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Kuji Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Narusawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Mizuki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Hitachi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Ogitsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Tajirihama Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:00 Katsuura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Alekhino Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Danilovo Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Oshiusu Russia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Omura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Oki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Tomobe Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Kawaziri Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Hama Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Shikabe Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Oitsu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Toyohashi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Takafunacho Japan  0.1