Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FILI-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (06 Apr 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.7 m 163 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.7 m 829 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSolomon Islands, New Caledonia, New Zealand23,223
+
Solomon Islands1,253 
New Caledonia21,966 
New Zealand04 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Apr 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Apr 2022 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia19,067
+
Papua New Guinea1,512 
Solomon Islands13,411 
New Caledonia4,143 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, Australia1,818,945
+
Papua New Guinea248,344 
Solomon Islands342,842 
New Caledonia63,384 
Australia1,164,373 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia, New Zealand5,050,980
+
Papua New Guinea428,311 
Solomon Islands130,606 
Vanuatu20,461 
New Caledonia195,538 
Australia4,273,831 
New Zealand2,233 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Apr 2022 06:00 146 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 2 04 Apr 2022 12:00 632 1.8 million
- - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC