Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FILI-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries New Caledonia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (06 Apr 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.8 m 259 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.7 m 829 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Caledonia20,548 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Apr 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Apr 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Apr 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Apr 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, New Caledonia21,212
+
Papua New Guinea4,391 
Solomon Islands7,509 
New Caledonia9,311 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia, Australia4,378,359
+
Papua New Guinea219,915 
Solomon Islands331,531 
New Caledonia120,682 
Australia3,706,230 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia, New Zealand2,711,122
+
Papua New Guinea543,784 
Solomon Islands136,332 
Vanuatu28,804 
New Caledonia133,130 
Australia1,867,017 
New Zealand2,053 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Apr 2022 06:00 146 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 2 04 Apr 2022 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Apr 2022 18:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Apr 2022 00:00 511 4.4 million
- - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC