Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWENTYONE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWENTYONE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 91 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.8 m 409 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan172 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Oct 2022 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Oct 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Oct 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Oct 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmNorthern Mariana Islands49,085 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Marshall Islands189,616
+
Northern Mariana Islands5,984 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia11,415 
Marshall Islands2,331 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Oct 2022 12:00 294 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
Blue 2 12 Oct 2022 18:00 147 8 thousand -
- - - - Japan
Blue 3 13 Oct 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 4 13 Oct 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Oct 2022 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Oct 2022 18:00 346 50 thousand
- - - - Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Marshall Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ono, Japan. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ono Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Takagi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Inai Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Watanoha Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kotake Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Nitoda Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Odomari Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Takenohama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Koamikura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ikenohama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Aji Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Oharahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Shiogama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Schiogama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Takaki Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Uenodai Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ninokura Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ainokama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tago Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Niida Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ido Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Shinhama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Gamo Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Taiyo Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Omi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Kyochikama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Hamatsuga Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Aotsuka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Kyuchu Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Kashima Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Koya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Okunoya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Yatabe Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Watari Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Hayakawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Warabi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Arahama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yagawa Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Samenoura Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kukunari Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Oshika Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tomari Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Izushima Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Niiyama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Terama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yamashita Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kasano Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Hanagama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Komagamine Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Iso Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Nakumura Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Tachiya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Haragama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Umekawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Isobe Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Ichinomiya Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Katakai Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Hasunuma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Ike Shinden Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Goda Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Samma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Shirawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Shirahama Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Shitamisaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Katsumata Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Sagara Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Katsuma Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Omae Zaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Kawasaki Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Saitana Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Kami Yoshida Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Aikawa Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Tenno Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Yokouchi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Shimo Kosugi Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Tajiri Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:45 Yaizu Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:45 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:15 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:15 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 23:15 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Ohara Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2022 20:15 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
13 Oct 2022 22:30 Kuma Kiribati  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Choshi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Tokawacho Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Inuwaka Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Yakumo Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Kuroiwa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Yamagoshi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Nodaoi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Ishikura Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:45 Rawannawi Kiribati  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:15 Kisarazu Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:15 Anegasaki Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:15 Goi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:15 Chiba Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:15 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Agat Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Umatac Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Merizo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Piti Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Asan Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Inarajan Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Hagatna Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Sinajana Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Talofofo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Mongmong Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Ylig Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Yona Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Tamuning Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Barrigada Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Asbeco Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Adacao Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Kashima Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Takahira Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Kayahama Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Mobetsu Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kamuso Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Hakodate Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yukawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Oceanview Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Dededo Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 South Acres Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Ipapao Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Upi Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Gayinero Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Asatdas Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Lupog Guam  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tokyo Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Funabashi Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Shiriuchi Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kikonai Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Hashikure Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:30 Oshamambe Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:45 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:45 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:45 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:45 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Shizukari Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 Lot Micronesia  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Asahi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Oyagaw Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Hokota Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Natsumi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Kamigama Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Noda Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Katsuori Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Otake Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:45 Muyokama Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yunokawa Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:15 Rebun Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Ogushi Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.1
13 Oct 2022 22:00 Higashi Japan  0.1