Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 4 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 1.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,592,576
+
Mauritius846,248 
Reunion746,328 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 205 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion59 
750-1000 mmReunion2,412 
500-750 mmReunion2,883 
250-500 mmReunion31,307 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion326,615
+
Mauritius200,354 
Reunion126,261 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion959,209
+
Mauritius581,118 
Reunion378,091 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 1074 360 thousand
Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ampombilava, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Somanga Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Pombwe Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Jaja Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:30 Salale Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:00 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:00 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:00 Foque Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:15 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:45 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Marere Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:30 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Amado Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 19:30 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 00:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 21:45 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Palma Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Bawala Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Olumbe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Boala Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 23:15 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 22:45 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1